Three honest tiers. DIY: $0-200 in books + 60-100 hours of your time over 6-10 weeks. ShipFit: $5 for a Quick Take, $10 for a full playbook, $19-99/mo subscription. Strategy consultant: $5,000-25,000 for a 4-8 week engagement. Hidden cost across all three: ~$50-200 for buyer-interview coffee. The number to compare against: the $20K-80K it costs to skip validation and ship the wrong thing.
The fast version
Three honest options:
| Option | Cost | Time | What you get | Honest tradeoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIY | $0-300 | 60-100 hrs / 6-10 weeks | Books + your own analysis | Slow, biased, no one tells you when an answer is weak |
| ShipFit | $5-99 | 30-60 min decisions + 2-4 wks buyer time | Framework-backed verdict + AI-synthesized playbook + exports | Probabilistic; the AI is opinionated and occasionally wrong, like a good consultant |
| Strategy consultant | $5K-25K | 4-8 weeks | Polished slide deck | Their incentive is to be hired again, not to tell you to stop |
Plus the unavoidable hidden cost: $50-200 in coffee + survey incentives for buyer interviews. Optional: $50-300 in ad spend if you run a Fake Door Test with paid traffic.
Why DIY isn’t actually free
DIY validation costs your time. At an honest hourly value (whatever you’d otherwise be earning), 60-100 hours over 6-10 weeks is the most expensive option for most founders. The other costs:
- $0-200 in books (Mom Test, Lean Startup, 7 Powers, Buyer Personas; the canon)
- $50-200 in coffee + survey-respondent incentives
- $50-300 in optional ad spend for the Fake Door Test
- $0-50 for tools (Carrd for landing page, Google Forms for surveys, Otter for transcription)
Total cash: $100-750. Total cost-of-time: $3K-15K depending on your hourly value.
If your time is worth more than $5/hour, “free” is the most expensive option in the table.
What you get for $5 with ShipFit
A Quick Take: stages 1-2 of the 9-step playbook. Market verdict + signal confidence + buyer persona + the start of the above-the-line pain analysis. Useful for “is this idea worth my time?” gut-check before you commit weeks.
For $10: the full 9-stage playbook including pricing position, MVP scope, launch plan, and exports for Cursor / Claude Code / Windsurf. Credits never expire.
For $19-99/mo: subscription tiers for serial validators (multiple ideas, ongoing iterations) or teams.
The $5-10 isn’t paying for analysis. It’s paying for the discipline that DIY founders consistently skip: the framework gates that refuse to advance if a stage’s evidence is weak.
What you get for $25K with a consultant
A 30-60 page deck. Market sizing (top-down, often inflated). Competitive analysis (often a SWOT). A few buyer interviews (consultant-conducted; the founder learns less than if they did them). A “go/no-go” recommendation that’s almost always “go with conditions” because consultants don’t get hired again to say “no.”
For pre-revenue founders, this is rarely worth it. Consultants are most useful when:
- The idea is highly regulated (healthcare, fintech) and domain expertise offsets the validation work
- You’re raising and need a third-party-stamped market analysis
- You’ve validated informally and need an independent stress test before committing $1M+
For “should I build this?” decisions where the alternative is a $20K-80K opportunity cost, the consultant fee is often comparable to the worst-case loss. ShipFit + buyer interviews + Fake Door Test is the path most founders should take.
The hidden cost of skipping validation
CB Insights’ “Why Startups Fail” reports consistently cite “no market need” as the #1 cause (~35-38% of post-mortems). The math:
- Skipping validation, idea works: ship in 6 months, no validation cost, lucky outcome
- Skipping validation, idea fails: ship in 6-9 months, lose $20K-80K in opportunity cost + freelance fees + savings + morale
- Running validation (any tier), idea fails: kill in 2-4 weeks, lose under $1K (cash) and 60-100 hrs (DIY) or 30-60 min decision time (ShipFit)
- Running validation (any tier), idea works: ship a validated V1, save the months you’d have spent on the wrong V1
Even at a generous 20% rate of “ideas that would have worked without validation,” the expected cost of skipping is multiple times the cost of running validation across a portfolio.
Further reading
- Pricing page, full ShipFit pricing breakdown.
- How to validate a business idea, the actual process you’re paying to compress.
- How long does startup validation take?, realistic time costs across the same tiers.
Related
The Mom Test
The Mom Test is Rob Fitzpatrick's framework for customer interviews that generate real signal. Not praise. Three rules, applied step-by-step, with examples.
The Lean Startup
Validated learning, the build-measure-learn loop, what an MVP actually is, the three engines of growth, and the ten pivots Ries names rather than one.
Idea Validation
Most founders confuse idea validation with idea-receiving-encouragement. The two have nothing in common. Here's what real validation looks like, and the four methods that actually produce it.
Frequently asked questions
Can I validate for free?
What's the cheapest way to get real validation evidence?
Why does ShipFit cost $5 when I can DIY for free?
When is a $25K consultant worth it?
What are the hidden costs of NOT validating?
Keep exploring
The 9-step playbook from market verdict to ship-ready spec.
The Mom Test is Rob Fitzpatrick's framework for customer interviews that generate real signal. Not praise. Three rules, applied step-by-step, with examples.
Adele Revella's Five Rings of Buying Insight, the questions that produce each one, and why a persona built without buyer interviews informs no decision.
Most founders confuse idea validation with idea-receiving-encouragement. The two have nothing in common. Here's what real validation looks like, and the four methods that actually produce it.
Default-prompted AI is a slop machine: agreeable, plausible-sounding, useless for validating an idea. Here's how to use AI for the parts where it actually adds signal, and where to keep it out of the way.
How many months until the bank account hits zero?
Narrow in four passes. (1) Start with the broad category your idea sits in. (2) Filter by buyer behavior: who currently has this problem and is doing something about it? (3) Filter by reach: who can you actually contact via the channels you have today? (4) Filter by willingness to pay: who has budget authority and a price point that clears your unit economics? The output is a specific buyer profile you could name 10 people who match. If you can't, you haven't narrowed enough.
Validation for non-technical founders using AI builders and no-code. The bottleneck isn't building anymore, it's deciding what to build. ShipFit decides.
Replit turns ideas into deployed apps in minutes. Describe it, publish it. ShipFit makes 9 decisions before you open Replit so the deploy is the right thing. ShipFit even exports a Replit-optimised prompt that encodes every decision. Use both. ShipFit first.
Ready to make your next product a success?
9 decisions between your idea and a product worth building.